This report is for educational purposes only, and not to provide investment advice. Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult a investment professional.
While I try to be accurate, I assume no responsibility for any figure in this spreadsheet. Estimates Estimates Estimates
See my website on stocks or see my blog at the following sites. www.spbrunner.com/stocks.html www.spbrunner.blogspot.com/ Q3 2016
Cenovus Energy Inc. TSX: CVE NYSE: CVE www.cenovus.com Fiscal Yr: Dec 31 9/30/16
Year 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06 12/31/07 12/31/08 12/31/09 12/31/10 12/31/11 12/31/12 12/31/13 12/31/14 12/31/15 12/31/16 12/31/17 12/31/18 Value Description #Y Item
Accounting Rules C GAAP IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS Accounting Rules
Curr Exch 1.2048 1.1630 1.1652 0.9881 1.2240 1.0501 0.9970 1.0213 0.9968 1.0636 1.1601 1.3847 1.3475 1.3475 1.3475
split 2 2.06
AEC to ECA
Rev US$ pre 09 $10,259.0 $14,266 $16,399 $21,466 $30,064
Revenue US$ $4,980.1 $6,925.2 $7,960.7 $10,420.4 $14,594.2 $10,967.3 $12,679.0 $15,368.2 $16,896 $17,541 $16,931 $9,434 36.23% <-Total Growth 10 Revenue US$
Increase 62.9% 39.1% 15.0% 30.9% 40.1% -24.9% 15.6% 21.2% 9.9% 3.8% -3.5% -44.3% 3.14% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue US$
5 year Running Average $2,953 $3,935 $5,092 $6,669 $8,976 $10,174 $11,324 $12,806 $14,101 $14,690 $15,883 $15,234 -5.74% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue US$
Revenue per Share $5.53 $8.19 $10.23 $13.89 $19.45 $14.60 $16.85 $20.42 $22.35 $23.20 $22.36 $11.32 14.50% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average US$
Increase 66.7% 48.1% 25.0% 35.7% 40.0% -24.9% 15.4% 21.2% 9.5% 3.8% -3.6% -49.4% 6.11% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average US$
5 year Running Average $4.50 $4.79 $5.98 $8.23 $11.46 $13.27 $15.00 $17.04 $18.73 $19.48 $21.04 $19.93 3.30% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue per Share US$
P/S (Price/Sales) Med -7.64% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue per Share US$
P/S (Price/Sales) Close 15.32% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average US$
Revenue Net of Royalities in $M US$ P/S Med 5.85% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average US$
-$6,925 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $9,434
-$12,679 $0 $0 $0 $0 $9,434
-$3,935 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $15,234
-$11,324 $0 $0 $0 $0 $15,234
-$8.19 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.32
-$16.85 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.32
-$4.79 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.93
-$15.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.93
$21,546 <-12 mths 64.93%
Rev* CDN Pre 09 $12,360.0 $16,591 $19,108 $21,211 $36,798 CDN$
Revenue* CDN $6,000.0 $8,054 $9,276 $10,296 $17,863 $11,517 $12,641 $15,696 $16,842 $18,657 $19,642 $13,064 $11,958 $14,323 $14,396 62.20% <-Total Growth 10 Revenue CDN$
Increase 51.9% 34.2% 15.2% 11.0% 73.5% -35.5% 9.8% 24.2% 7.3% 10.8% 5.3% -33.5% -8.5% 19.8% 0.5% 4.96% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue CDN$
5 year Running Average $4,098 $5,096 $6,258 $7,515 $10,298 $11,401 $12,319 $13,603 $14,912 $15,071 $16,696 $16,780 $16,033 $15,529 $14,677 0.66% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue CDN$
Revenue per Share $6.66 $9.52 $11.92 $13.72 $23.80 $15.33 $16.79 $20.85 $22.28 $24.68 $25.94 $15.68 $14.35 $17.19 $17.28 12.66% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average CDN$
Increase 55.37% 42.91% 25.24% 15.10% 73.44% -35.60% 9.56% 24.17% 6.85% 10.75% 5.13% -39.57% -8.47% 19.78% 0.51% 6.38% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average CDN$
5 year Running Average $6.43 $6.29 $7.32 $9.22 $13.13 $14.86 $16.32 $18.10 $19.81 $19.99 $22.11 $21.89 $20.59 $19.57 $18.09 5.11% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue per Share CDN$
P/S (Price/Sales) Med 2.23 2.60 2.19 2.17 1.42 1.74 1.73 1.65 1.57 1.27 1.04 1.32 -1.37% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue per Share CDN$
P/S (Price/Sales) Close 2.49 2.68 2.18 2.39 1.16 1.64 1.98 1.59 1.49 1.23 0.92 1.12 1.38 1.15 1.15 13.28% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average CDN$
*Revenue Net of Royalities CDN $M (ACE to end 2001) P/S Med 10 yr 1.61 5 yr 1.32 -14.28% Diff M/C 6.05% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average CDN$
-$8,054 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $13,064
-$12,641 $0 $0 $0 $0 $13,064
-$5,096 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $16,780
-$12,319 $0 $0 $0 $0 $16,780
-$9.52 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.68
-$16.79 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.68
-$6.29 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $21.89
-$16.32 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $21.89
pre split 2005 $7.63
EPS* US$ pre 09 $3.82 $3.95 $6.89 $5.23 $7.91
EPS Basic US$ $1.85 $1.92 $3.34 $2.54 $3.84 $1.04 $1.32 $1.92 $1.32 $0.83 $0.84 $0.54 -71.75% <-Total Growth 10 EPS Basic US$
pre split 2005 $4.98
EPS* US$ pre 09 $2.49 $3.85 $6.76 $5.18 $7.91
EPS Diluted* US$ $1.21 $1.87 $3.28 $2.51 $3.84 $1.04 $1.32 $1.91 $1.31 $0.82 $0.84 $0.54 -71.02% <-Total Growth 10 EPS Diluted US$
Increase 156.7% 54.6% 75.6% -23.4% 52.7% -73.0% 27.6% 44.2% -31.2% -37.8% 3.3% -35.9% -11.65% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Earnings per Share US$
5 year Running Average $0.81 $1.06 $1.61 $1.87 $2.54 $2.51 $2.40 $2.13 $1.89 $1.28 $1.24 $1.09 -16.37% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Earnings per Share US$
10 year Running Average $0.97 $1.32 $1.98 $2.45 $3.24 $3.21 $3.07 $2.97 $2.72 $2.62 $2.37 $1.99 0.27% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average US$
*Fully diluted EPS -14.67% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average US$
-$1.87 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.54
-$1.32 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.54
-$1.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.09
-$2.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.09
-$1.56 <-12 mths -308.00%
pre split 2005
EPS* CDN$ pre 09
EPS Basic CND$ $2.23 $2.23 $3.90 $2.51 $4.70 $1.09 $1.32 $1.96 $1.32 $0.88 $0.98 $0.75 -66.37% <-Total Growth 10 EPS Basic CDN$
pre stock exch 02
pre split 2005 $6.00
EPS* CDN$ pre 09 $3.00 $4.48 $7.88 $5.12 $9.68
EPS Diluted* CDN$ $1.46 $2.17 $3.82 $2.48 $4.70 $1.09 $1.32 $1.95 $1.31 $0.87 $0.98 $0.75 -$0.72 $0.04 $0.59 -65.49% <-Total Growth 10 EPS Diluted CDN$
Increase 139.3% 49.3% 75.9% -35.0% 89.2% -76.8% 21.1% 47.7% -32.8% -33.6% 12.6% -23.5% -196.0% -105.6% 1375.0% -10.09% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Earnings per Share CDN$
Earnings Yield 8.8% 8.5% 14.7% 7.6% 17.0% 4.3% 4.0% 5.9% 3.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.3% -3.6% 0.2% 3.0% -10.69% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Earnings per Share CDN$
5 year Running Average $1.16 $1.40 $2.00 $2.11 $2.93 $2.85 $2.68 $2.31 $2.07 $1.31 $1.29 $1.17 $0.64 $0.38 $0.33 -1.74% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average CDN$
10 year Running Average $0.67 $0.86 $1.23 $1.45 $1.92 $2.01 $2.04 $2.15 $2.09 $2.12 $2.07 $1.93 $1.47 $1.23 $0.82 -15.27% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average CDN$
*Fully diluted EPS E/P 10 Yrs 4.31% 5Yrs 4.09%
-$2.17 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.75
-$1.32 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.75
-$1.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.17
-$2.68 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.17
pre split 2005 $0.40
Div US$ pre 09 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.80 $1.60 US$
Div US$ $0.10 $0.15 $0.19 $0.39 $0.78 $0.76 $0.80 $0.86 $0.88 $0.91 $0.92 $0.62 322.69% <-Total Growth 10 Dividends US$
Increase 0.0% 50.0% 33.3% 100.0% 100.0% -1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 2.5% 3.1% 0.8% -32.9% 15.51% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Dividends US$
xxxx -5.16% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Dividends US$
-$0.15 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.62
-$0.80 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.62
Special Dividends $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 <-Median-> 10 Special Dividends CDN$
AEC Div
pre split 2005
Dividends CDN$* $0.12 $0.17 $0.23 $0.38 $0.95 $0.80 $0.80 $0.88 $0.88 $0.97 $1.06 $0.85 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 403.28% <-Total Growth 10 Dividends CDN$
Increase -6.8% 44.8% 33.6% 69.6% 147.7% -15.8% 0.0% 10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 10.0% -19.9% -76.5% 0.0% 0.0% Count 24 Years of data CDN$
Dividends 5 Yr Running $0.11 $0.13 $0.16 $0.20 $0.37 $0.51 $0.63 $0.76 $0.86 $0.87 $0.92 $0.93 $0.79 $0.66 $0.50 599.46% <-Total Growth 10 Dividends 5 Yr Running CDN$
Yield H/L Price 0.79% 0.68% 0.87% 1.29% 2.81% 2.99% 2.76% 2.55% 2.52% 3.10% 3.95% 4.11% 1.16% 2.78% <-Median-> 10 Yield H/L Price CDN$
Yield on High Price 0.69% 0.50% 0.76% 1.12% 2.04% 2.52% 2.40% 2.19% 2.24% 2.87% 3.07% 3.33% 0.96% 2.32% <-Median-> 10 Yield on High Price CDN$
Yield on Low Price 0.92% 1.07% 1.01% 1.52% 4.50% 3.68% 3.24% 3.06% 2.88% 3.37% 5.52% 5.35% 1.48% 3.31% <-Median-> 10 Yield on Low Price CDN$
Yield on Close Price 0.70% 0.66% 0.87% 1.17% 3.44% 3.17% 2.40% 2.65% 2.64% 3.18% 4.44% 4.87% 1.01% 1.01% 1.01% 2.91% <-Median-> 10 Yield on Close Price CDN$
Payout Ratio EPS 8.03% 7.79% 5.92% 15.44% 20.23% 73.39% 60.61% 45.13% 67.18% 111.26% 108.65% 113.65% -27.8% 500.0% 33.9% 63.89% <-Median-> 10 DPR EPS CDN$
DPR EPS 5 Yr Running 9.68% 9.51% 7.92% 9.69% 12.62% 17.73% 23.55% 33.04% 41.57% 66.18% 71.43% 79.27% 124.30% 171.10% 153.49% 28.30% <-Median-> 10 DPR EPS 5 Yr Running CDN$
Payout Ratio CFPS 3.92% 3.42% 3.90% 7.12% 13.56% 19.78% 23.21% 20.24% 19.45% 20.68% 22.86% 48.19% 13.2% 9.3% 7.4% 20.01% <-Median-> 10 DPR CF CDN$
DPR CF 5 Yr Running 4.34% 4.48% 4.41% 4.63% 7.07% 9.30% 12.30% 15.74% 18.44% 20.56% 21.21% 23.25% 23.13% 22.26% 19.67% 14.02% <-Median-> 10 DPR CF 5 Yr Running CDN$
Payout Ratio CFPS WC 5.63% 3.52% 6.72% 7.11% 13.16% 21.13% 24.93% 20.22% 18.26% 20.28% 23.17% 42.00% 13.25% 9.35% 7.35% 20.25% <-Median-> 10 DPR CF WC CDN$
DPR CF WC 5 Yr Running 4.30% 4.76% 5.20% 5.48% 8.07% 10.29% 13.75% 15.92% 18.43% 20.67% 21.12% 22.58% 22.37% 21.83% 19.37% 14.83% <-Median-> 10 DPR CF WC 5 Yr Running CDN$
Median Values 5 Yr Med 5 Yr Cl 3.10% 3.18% Payout 108.65% 20.68% 20.28% 17.54% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Dividends CDN$ To 2015
* Dividends per share 5 Yr Med and Cur. -67.42% Last Div Inc ---> $0.1600 $0.0500 -68.8% 1.28% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Dividends CDN$ To 2015
-1.23% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Dividends CDN$ To 2016
-25.65% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Dividends CDN$ To 2016
Historical Dividends Historical High Div 4.93% Low Div 0.62% Ave Div 2.78% Med Div 1.62% Close Div 1.63% Historical Dividends CDN$
High/Ave/Median Values Curr diff Exp. -79.52% 62.84% Exp. -63.62% Exp. -37.68% Exp. -38.24% High/Ave/Median CDN$
Future Dividend Yield Div Yd 1.63% earning in 5 Years at IRR of 10.00% Div Inc. 61.05% Future Dividend Yield CDN$
Future Dividend Yield Div Yd 2.62% earning in 10 Years at IRR of 10.0% Div Inc. 159.37% Future Dividend Yield CDN$
Future Dividend Yield Div Yd 4.22% earning in 15 Years at IRR of 10.0% Div Inc. 317.72% Future Dividend Yield CDN$
H/LYield held 5 yrs 1.78% 1.87% 2.15% 3.63% 8.03% 5.39% 3.23% 3.37% 2.95% 2.86% 3.98% 2.94% 0.58% 0.57% 0.64% 3.30% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price CDN$
H/LYield held 10 yrs 3.52% 5.20% 4.99% 7.57% 17.81% 12.18% 8.85% 8.35% 8.33% 8.17% 7.18% 3.44% 0.76% 0.67% 0.59% 8.25% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price CDN$
H/LYield held 15 yrs 17.40% 29.47% 24.11% 24.56% 19.41% 17.36% 18.13% 16.22% 9.42% 1.90% 1.89% 1.69% 18.13% <-Median-> 9 Paid Median Price CDN$
H/LYield held 20 yrs 39.90% 30.01% 32.09% 26.17% 4.41% 3.94% 3.75% 31.05% <-Median-> 4 Paid Median Price CDN$
H/LYield held 25 yrs 9.07% 6.20% #NUM! <-Median-> 0 Paid Median Price CDN$
Cost covered if held 5 years 8.54% 7.34% 7.51% 9.67% 15.59% 17.06% 12.76% 14.59% 14.45% 12.79% 17.17% 16.03% 11.49% 9.41% 8.06% 14.52% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price CDN$
Cost covered if held 10 years 26.83% 30.51% 25.45% 29.03% 44.15% 47.07% 42.29% 43.70% 50.48% 52.13% 48.03% 31.50% 29.75% 25.46% 20.22% 43.92% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price CDN$
Cost covered if held 15 years 81.32% 83.27% 103.08% 127.54% 109.57% 114.05% 125.22% 117.01% 93.65% 81.31% 81.57% 73.38% 109.57% <-Median-> 9 Paid Median Price CDN$
Cost covered if held 20 years 276.78% 217.43% 241.48% 270.15% 197.02% 178.84% 172.37% 255.81% <-Median-> 4 Paid Median Price CDN$
Cost covered if held 25 years 425.74% 295.46% #NUM! <-Median-> 0 Paid Median Price CDN$
Graham No. last 3 EPS $15.29 $17.88 $20.09 $27.20 $34.02 $32.49 $28.75 $25.81 $20.60 $21.26 $20.41 $18.77 $16.36 $10.19 $2.68 5.00% <-Total Growth 10 Graham Price CDN$
Price/GP Ratio Med 0.97 1.39 1.30 1.10 0.99 0.82 1.01 1.34 1.69 1.47 1.32 1.11 1.05 0.00 0.00 1.20 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Price/GP Ratio High 1.11 1.89 1.48 1.26 1.37 0.98 1.16 1.56 1.91 1.59 1.70 1.36 1.28 0.00 0.00 1.43 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Price/GP Ratio Low 0.83 0.89 1.12 0.93 0.62 0.67 0.86 1.11 1.48 1.35 0.94 0.85 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.94 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Price/GP Ratio Close 1.09 1.43 1.30 1.20 0.81 0.78 1.16 1.29 1.62 1.43 1.17 0.93 1.21 1.94 7.38 1.19 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Prem/Disc Close 7.52% 33.41% 18.02% 20.45% -14.52% -41.18% 22.80% 31.54% 64.91% 56.97% 20.65% -8.04% 21.12% 94.33% 638.18% 20.55% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price CDN$
Graham No. $17.45 $22.86 $33.05 $27.20 $43.86 $17.71 $19.89 $23.42 $19.55 $16.05 $17.22 $15.84 $16.36 $10.19 $2.68 -30.70% <-Total Growth 10 Graham Price CDN$
Price/GP Ratio Med 0.85 1.08 0.79 1.10 0.77 1.51 1.46 1.47 1.79 1.95 1.57 1.31 1.05 1.47 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Price/GP Ratio High 0.97 1.48 0.90 1.26 1.06 1.79 1.67 1.72 2.01 2.11 2.01 1.62 1.28 1.70 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Price/GP Ratio Low 0.73 0.69 0.68 0.93 0.48 1.23 1.24 1.23 1.56 1.79 1.12 1.01 0.83 1.17 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Price/GP Ratio Close 0.95 1.12 0.79 1.20 0.63 1.42 1.67 1.42 1.70 1.89 1.39 1.10 1.21 1.94 7.38 1.40 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio CDN$
Prem/Disc Close -4.85% 11.62% -21.20% 20.45% -36.96% 42.29% 67.35% 41.79% 70.24% 89.44% 39.17% 10.47% 21.12% 94.33% 638.18% 40.48% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price CDN$
AEC to 2001
pre split 2005 $68.40
Price Close CDN$ $16.60 $25.51 $26.05 $32.77 $27.65 $25.20 $33.28 $33.20 $33.29 $30.40 $23.97 $17.50 $19.81 $19.81 $19.81 -31.41% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price CDN$
Increase 33.2% 53.7% 2.1% 25.8% -15.6% -8.9% 32.1% -0.2% 0.3% -8.7% -21.2% -27.0% 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% -3.70% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price CDN$
P/E 11.40 11.74 6.81 13.19 5.88 23.12 25.21 17.03 25.41 34.94 24.46 23.33 -27.51 495.25 33.58 -12.06% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price CDN$
Trailing P/E 27.28 17.52 11.98 8.57 11.13 5.36 30.53 25.15 17.07 23.21 27.55 17.86 26.41 -27.51 495.25 -0.09% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Dividend CDN$
Median 10, 5 Yrs D. per yr 3.61% 3.64% % Tot Ret 0.00% 0.00% Price Inc -8.68% P/E: 23.23 24.46 -8.42% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Dividend CDN$
Price H/L Median CDN $14.83 $24.78 $26.15 $29.84 $33.85 $26.75 $28.99 $34.50 $34.91 $31.24 $26.99 $20.76 $17.20 -16.23% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price CDN$
Increase 25.2% 67.1% 5.5% 14.1% 13.4% -21.0% 8.4% 19.0% 1.2% -10.5% -13.6% -23.1% -17.1% -1.76% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price CDN$
P/E 10.18 11.40 6.84 12.01 7.20 24.54 21.96 17.69 26.65 35.91 27.54 27.67 -23.89 -6.46% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price CDN$
Trailing P/E 24.37 17.01 12.03 7.80 13.62 5.69 26.59 26.13 17.90 23.85 31.02 21.18 22.93 1.61% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Dividend CDN$
P/E on Run. 5 yr Ave 12.80 17.74 13.09 14.15 11.56 9.37 10.80 14.94 16.83 23.88 20.98 17.71 26.96 -2.80% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Dividend CDN$
P/E on Run. 10 yr Ave 22.16 28.71 21.18 20.52 17.62 13.33 14.21 16.02 16.69 14.75 13.04 10.77 11.67 17.58 P/E Ratio Historical Median CDN$
Median 10, 5 Yrs D. per yr 3.36% 3.66% % Tot Ret 209.31% 0.00% Price Inc -10.51% P/E: 23.25 27.54 Count 24 Years of data
High Months Dec Sep Aug/Dec Jun May May Dec Apr/Jul Feb Jan Aug Feb Oct
AEC
pre split 2005 $69.65
Price High CDN$ $16.91 $33.73 $29.81 $34.40 $46.58 $31.76 $33.28 $40.21 $39.31 $33.78 $34.68 $25.59 $20.88 -24.13% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price CDN$
Increase 32.4% 99.5% -11.6% 15.4% 35.4% -31.8% 4.8% 20.8% -2.2% -14.1% 2.7% -26.2% -18.4% -2.72% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price CDN$
P/E 11.6 15.5 7.8 13.8 9.9 29.1 25.2 20.6 30.0 38.8 35.4 34.1 -29.0 -5.12% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price CDN$
Trailing P/E 27.8 23.2 13.7 9.0 18.7 6.8 30.5 30.5 20.2 25.8 39.9 26.1 27.8 20.40 P/E Ratio Historical Median CDN$
Median 10, 5 Yrs Price Inc -2.24% P/E: 27.17 34.12 35.18 P/E Ratio Historical High CDN$
-$33.73 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $25.59
-$33.28 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $25.59
Low Months Feb Jan Feb Jan Oct Feb Jan Nov Aug Apr Dec Aug Feb
AEC
pre split 2005 $52.55
Price Low pre 09 $26.28 $32.60 $46.33 $52.08 $43.50 $44.78
Price Low CDN$ $12.75 $15.83 $22.49 $25.28 $21.12 $21.74 $24.69 $28.78 $30.51 $28.70 $19.29 $15.92 $13.52 0.60% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price CDN$
Increase 16.8% 24.1% 42.1% 12.4% -16.5% 2.9% 13.6% 16.6% 6.0% -5.9% -32.8% -17.5% -15.1% 0.06% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price CDN$
P/E 8.8 7.3 5.9 10.2 4.5 19.9 18.7 14.8 23.3 33.0 19.7 21.2 -18.8 -8.40% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price CDN$
Trailing P/E 21.0 10.9 10.3 6.6 8.5 4.6 22.7 21.8 15.6 21.9 22.2 16.2 18.0 14.77 P/E Ratio Historical Median CDN$
Median 10, 5 Yrs Price Inc -5.93% P/E: 19.19 21.23 7.28 P/E Ratio Historical Low CDN$
-$15.83 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.92
-$24.69 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.92
Long Term Debt $5,458 $6,525 $6,184 Debt CDN$
Ratio to Market Cap 0.30 0.45 0.37 0.37 <-Median-> 2 % of Market C. CDN$
Goodwill & Intangibles $0 $242 $242 $242 Intangibles Goodwill CDN$
Ratio to Market Cap 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 <-Median-> 3 % of Market C. CDN$
Market Cap Pre 09 $30,801 $44,461 $41,742 $50,639 $42,743 Full company
Market Cap $14,952 $21,583 $20,263 $24,582 $20,749 $18,933 $25,049 $24,989 $25,162 $22,984 $18,148 $14,583 $16,507 $16,507 $16,507 -32.43% <-Total Growth 10 Market Cap CDN$
Diluted 754.0 757.7 758.5 757.5 757.6 818.7 833.3 8.58% <-Total Growth 5 Diluted
Change 0.49% 0.11% -0.13% 0.01% 8.06% 1.78% 0.11% <-Median-> 5 Change
Average # of Sh in M 751.0 751.9 754.0 755.6 755.9 756.9 818.7 833.3 9.01% <-Total Growth 6 Average
Change 0.12% 0.28% 0.21% 0.04% 0.13% 8.16% 1.78% 0.17% <-Median-> 6 Change
Difference 0.0% 0.1% -0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.03% <-Median-> 7 Difference
$1,019 <-12 mths -30.87%
Reason shares repu
pre-split 2005 450.3
# of Share in Millions 900.6 845.9 777.9 750.2 750.4 751.3 752.7 752.7 755.8 756.0 757.1 833.3 833.3 833.3 833.3 -0.15% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Shares
Change -2.24% -6.07% -8.04% -3.56% 0.03% 0.12% 0.18% 0.00% 0.42% 0.03% 0.14% 10.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.06% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Shares
CF fr Op $M US$ pre 09 $4,591.0 $7,430.0 $7,973.0 $8,429.0 $8,855.0 US$
CF fr Op $M US$ $2,228.6 $3,606.8 $3,870.4 $4,091.7 $4,298.5 $2,894.0 $2,601.8 $3,205 $3,431 $3,327 $3,039 $1,064 -70.49% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow US$
Non-Cash pre 09 US$ -$1,389.0 -$216.0 -$3,343.0 $8.0 $269.0 US$
CF fr Op $M CDN$ pre 09
CF fr Op $M CDN$ $2,685.1 $4,194.7 $4,509.8 $4,043.1 $5,261.4 $3,039.0 $2,594.0 $3,273 $3,420 $3,539 $3,526 $1,474 $1,258 $1,783 $2,267 -64.86% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow CDN$
Increase -0.72% 56.22% 7.51% -10.35% 30.13% -42.24% -14.64% 26.18% 4.49% 3.48% -0.37% -58.20% -14.64% 41.72% 27.10% SO, S. Issue Buy Back CDN$
5 year Running Average $1,779 $2,434 $3,066 $3,627 $4,139 $4,210 $3,889 $3,642 $3,517 $3,173 $3,270 $3,046 $2,643 $2,316 $2,062 25.18% <-Total Growth 10 CF 5 Yr Running CDN$
CFPS $2.98 $4.96 $5.80 $5.39 $7.01 $4.04 $3.45 $4.35 $4.52 $4.68 $4.66 $1.77 $1.51 $2.14 $2.72 -64.33% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow per Share CDN$
Increase 1.55% 66.33% 16.91% -7.04% 30.10% -42.31% -14.80% 26.18% 4.05% 3.45% -0.51% -62.02% -14.64% 41.72% 27.10% -9.93% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow CDN$
5 year Running Average $2.59 $2.96 $3.59 $4.41 $5.23 $5.44 $5.14 $4.85 $4.68 $4.21 $4.33 $4.00 $3.43 $2.95 $2.56 -10.69% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow CDN$
P/CF on Med Price 4.97 5.00 4.51 5.54 4.83 6.61 8.41 7.93 7.72 6.67 5.79 11.73 11.39 -9.79% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow per Share CDN$
P/CF on Closing Price 5.57 5.15 4.49 6.08 3.94 6.23 9.66 7.63 7.36 6.49 5.15 9.89 13.12 -12.49% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow per Share CDN$
97.48% Diff M/C 3.04% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS 5 yr Running CDN$
Excl.Working Capital CF pre 09 -$1,673.5 -$251.2 -$3,895.3 $7.9 $329.3 CDN$
Excl.Working Capital CF -$812.4 -$121.9 -$1,890.9 $3.8 $159.8 -$194.0 -$179.0 $3.0 $223.0 $70.0 -$47.0 $217.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 -4.90% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS 5 yr Running CDN$
CF fr Op $M WC $1,872.7 $4,072.8 $2,618.9 $4,046.9 $5,421.3 $2,845.0 $2,415.0 $3,276.0 $3,643 $3,609 $3,479 $1,691 $1,258 $1,783 $2,267 -58.48% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow less WC CDN$
Increase -32.04% 117.48% -35.70% 54.53% 33.96% -47.52% -15.11% 35.65% 11.20% -0.93% -3.60% -51.39% -25.59% 41.72% 27.10% -8.41% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow less WC CDN$
5 year Running Average $1,751 $2,332 $2,642 $3,073 $3,606 $3,801 $3,469 $3,601 $3,520 $3,158 $3,284 $3,140 $2,736 $2,364 $2,096 -6.88% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow less WC CDN$
CFPS Excl. WC $2.08 $4.81 $3.37 $5.39 $7.22 $3.79 $3.21 $4.35 $4.82 $4.77 $4.60 $2.03 $1.51 $2.14 $2.72 3.02% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CF less WC 5 Yr Run CDN$
Increase -30.48% 131.54% -30.08% 60.23% 33.93% -47.58% -15.27% 35.65% 10.74% -0.96% -3.74% -55.84% -25.59% 41.72% 27.10% -1.98% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CF less WC 5 Yr Run CDN$
5 year Running Average $2.61 $2.79 $3.05 $3.73 $4.58 $4.92 $4.60 $4.79 $4.68 $4.19 $4.35 $4.11 $3.55 $3.01 $2.60 -8.28% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CFPS - Less WC CDN$
P/CF on Med Price 7.13 5.15 7.77 5.53 4.69 7.06 9.03 7.93 7.24 6.54 5.87 10.23 11.39 0.00 0.00 -8.76% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS - Less WC CDN$
P/CF on Closing Price 7.98 5.30 7.74 6.07 3.83 6.65 10.37 7.63 6.91 6.37 5.22 8.62 13.12 9.26 7.28 3.96% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CFPS 5 yr Running CDN$
*Operational Cash Flow per share CF/-WC P/CF Med 10 yr 6.64 5 yr 7.72 P/CF Med 10 yr 7.15 5 yr 7.24 83.40% Diff M/C -2.19% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS 5 yr Running CDN$
-845.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 833.3 Shares CDN$
-752.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 833.3 Shares CDN$
-$4,195 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $1,474 Cash Flow CDN$
-$2,594 $0 $0 $0 $0 $1,474 Cash Flow CDN$
-$4.96 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.77 Cash Flow per Share CDN$
OPM 44.75% 52.08% 48.62% 39.27% 29.45% 26.39% 20.52% 20.85% 20.31% 18.97% 17.95% 11.28% -78.34% <-Total Growth 10 OPM CDN$
Increase -34.64% 16.38% -6.65% -19.24% -24.99% -10.41% -22.23% 1.62% -2.62% -6.59% -5.36% -37.15% Should increase or be stable. CDN$
Diff from Median 116.3% 151.8% 135.0% 89.8% 42.4% 27.6% -0.8% 0.8% -1.8% -8.3% -13.2% -45.5% 0.00 <-Median-> 10 OPM CDN$
*Operational Profit Margin (CF/Revenue) Ratio OPM 10 Yrs 20.69% 5 Yrs 18.97% should be zero, it is a check on calculations CDN$
Current Assets CDN$ $2,049.9 $2,034.7 $2,094 $2,132 $3,329 $2,390 $2,775 $3,911 $4,579 $5,610 $4,195 $6,473 $6,212 Liquidity ratio of 1.5 and up, best CDN$
Current Liabilities CDN$ $1,723.6 $2,750.0 $2,088 $3,036 $2,314 $1,921 $2,485 $3,388 $3,270 $3,779 $2,957 $1,858 $2,003 1.32 <-Median-> 10 Ratio CDN$
Liquidity 1.19 0.74 1.00 0.70 1.44 1.24 1.12 1.15 1.40 1.48 1.42 3.48 3.10 1.42 <-Median-> 5 Ratio CDN$
Liq. with CF aft div 2.69 2.21 3.08 1.94 3.40 2.51 1.92 1.92 2.24 2.23 2.34 3.89 3.65 2.24 <-Median-> 5 Ratio CDN$
Liq. CF re Inv+Div 0.68 0.76 1.07 0.53 0.68 1.21 1.92 1.10 1.11 1.59 1.54 3.89 3.65 1.54 <-Median-> 5 Ratio CDN$
Assets CDN$ $18,255 $19,279 $19,857 $22,532 $28,073 $21,509 $22,095 $22,194 $24,216 $25,224 $24,695 $25,791 $24,475 Debt Ratio of 1.5 and up, best Assets
Liabilities CDN$ $9,887 $10,242 $9,978 $12,601 $14,422 $11,901 $12,073 $12,788 $14,410 $15,278 $14,509 $13,400 $13,044 1.80 <-Median-> 10 Liabilities CDN$
Asset/Liability 1.85 1.88 1.99 1.79 1.95 1.81 1.83 1.74 1.68 1.65 1.70 1.92 1.88 1.70 <-Median-> 5 Ratio CDN$
Book Value CDN$ $8,368 $9,037 $9,879 $9,931 $13,651 $9,608 $10,022 $9,406 $9,806 $9,946 $10,186 $12,391 $11,431 $11,431 $11,431 37.11% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value CDN$
BV per share $9.29 $10.68 $12.70 $13.24 $18.19 $12.79 $13.32 $12.50 $12.97 $13.16 $13.45 $14.87 $13.72 $13.72 $13.72 39.19% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value per Share CDN$
Change 20.97% 14.98% 18.88% 4.23% 37.42% -29.70% 4.12% -6.15% 3.82% 1.40% 2.27% 10.53% -7.75% 0.00% 0.00% -32.34% P/B Ratio Current/10 Year Median CDN$
P/B Ratio (Median) 1.60 2.32 2.06 2.25 1.86 2.09 2.18 2.76 2.69 2.37 2.01 1.40 1.25 1.93 P/B Ratio Historical Median CDN$
P/B Ratio (Close) 1.79 2.39 2.05 2.48 1.52 1.97 2.50 2.66 2.57 2.31 1.78 1.18 1.44 1.44 1.44 3.36% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Book Value per Share CDN$
Change 10.11% 33.67% -14.12% 20.68% -38.59% 29.64% 26.84% 6.29% -3.41% -9.94% -22.90% -33.94% 22.71% 0.00% 0.00% 2.23% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Book Value per Share CDN$
Leverage (A/BK) 2.18 2.13 2.01 2.27 2.06 2.24 2.20 2.36 2.47 2.54 2.42 2.08 2.14 0.00 0.00 2.25 <-Median-> 10 A/BV CDN$
Debt/Equity Ratio 1.18 1.13 1.01 1.27 1.06 1.24 1.20 1.36 1.47 1.54 1.42 1.08 1.14 0.00 0.00 1.25 <-Median-> 10 Debt/Eq Ratio CDN$
Sharerholders Equity (Assets less liabilities) P/BV 10 yr Med 2.13 5 yr Med 2.37 -32.34% Diff M/C 2.22 Historical Leverage (A/BK) CDN$
-$1,347 <-12 mths -209.42%
Comprehensive Income CDN$ $2,526 $580 $980 $1,526 $969 $803 $941 $1,231 -51.27% <-Total Growth 7 Comprehensive Income CDN$
Increase -77.04% 68.97% 55.71% -36.50% -17.13% 17.19% 30.82% 17.19% <-Median-> 5 Comprehensive Income CDN$
5 Yr Running Average $1,316 $972 $1,044 $1,094 -9.76% <-IRR #YR-> 7 Comprehensive Income CDN$
ROE 18.5% 6.0% 9.8% 16.2% 9.9% 8.1% 9.2% 9.9% 4.67% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Comprehensive Income CDN$
5Yr Median 9.8% 13.0% 9.9% 9.8% 9.8% 9.9% CDN$
% Difference from NI -28.5% -29.1% -1.3% 3.2% -2.4% 21.3% 26.5% 99.2% CDN$
Median Values Diff 5, 10 yr 1.0% 21.3% 9.9% <-Median-> 5 Return on Equity CDN$
Current Liability Coverage Ratio 1.09 1.48 1.25 1.33 2.34 1.48 0.97 0.97 1.11 0.96 1.18 0.91 CFO / Current Liabilities CDN$
5 year Median 1.34 1.34 1.25 1.33 1.33 1.48 1.33 1.33 1.11 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 <-Median-> 5 Current Liability Cov Ratio CDN$
Asset Efficiency Ratio 10.26% 21.13% 13.19% 17.96% 19.31% 13.23% 10.93% 14.76% 15.04% 14.31% 14.09% 6.56% CFO / Total Assets CDN$
5 year Median 18.22% 18.22% 13.19% 17.96% 17.96% 17.96% 13.23% 14.76% 14.76% 14.31% 14.31% 14.31% 14.3% <-Median-> 5 Return on Assets CDN$
Return on Assets ROA 7.6% 8.6% 13.8% 8.5% 10.3% 3.6% 4.5% 6.5% 4.1% 2.5% 2.6% 1.7% Net Income/Assets Return on Assets CDN$
5Yr Median 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 6.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.1% 2.6% 2.6% <-Median-> 5 Asset Efficiency Ratio CDN$
Return on Equity ROE 20.1% 21.4% 32.4% 19.1% 25.9% 8.5% 9.9% 15.7% 10.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.0% Net Inc/ Shareholders' equity Return on Equity CDN$
5Yr Median 20.1% 20.1% 20.1% 20.1% 21.4% 21.4% 19.1% 15.7% 10.1% 9.9% 9.9% 7.3% 7.3% <-Median-> 5 Return on Equity CDN$
-$1,277 <-12 mths -306.63%
Net Income CDN$ $1,678 $1,934 $3,197 $1,899 $3,532 $818 $993 $1,478 $993 $662 $744 $618 -$574 $35 $512 -68.05% <-Total Growth 10 Net Income CDN$
Increase 133.46% 15.27% 65.29% -40.60% 85.98% -76.84% 21.39% 48.84% -32.81% -33.33% 12.39% -16.94% -192.88% -106.01% 1384.06% EPS/CF Ratio should not be higher than 1.00 CDN$
5 Yr Running Average $757 $1,051 $1,566 $1,885 $2,448 $2,276 $2,088 $1,744 $1,563 $989 $974 $899 $489 $297 $267 -10.78% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Net Income CDN$
Operating Cash Flow $2,685 $4,195 $4,510 $4,043 $5,261 $3,039 $2,594 $3,273 $3,420 $3,539 $3,526 $1,474 -9.05% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Net Income CDN$
Investment Cash Flow -5,131 -5,257 -3,941 -8,078 -9,245 -2,063 798 -2,530 -3,336 -1,519 -1,519 888 -1.55% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 Yr Running Average CDN$
Total Accruals $4,124 $2,996 $2,628 $5,934 $7,515 -$158 -$2,399 $735 $909 -$1,358 -$1,263 -$1,744 -15.51% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 Yr Running Average CDN$
Total Assets $18,255 $19,279 $19,857 $22,532 $28,073 $21,509 $22,095 $22,194 $24,216 $25,224 $24,695 $25,791 Balance Sheet Assets CDN$
Accruals Ratio 22.59% 15.54% 13.23% 26.33% 26.77% -0.73% -10.86% 3.31% 3.75% -5.38% -5.11% -6.76% -5.11% <-Median-> 5 Ratio CDN$
EPS/CF Ratio 0.70 0.45 1.14 0.46 0.65 0.29 0.41 0.45 0.27 0.18 0.21 0.37 0.39 <-Median-> 10 EPS/CF Ratio CDN$
Chge In Close CDN$ 33.20% 53.68% 2.09% 25.79% -15.61% -8.86% 32.06% -0.24% 0.27% -8.68% -21.15% -26.99% 13.20% 0.00% 0.00% Count 21 Years of data CDN$
Accruals Ratio Is? down down up up up Count 12 57.14% CDN$
Predictive? % right Count 2 16.67% CDN$
Financial Cash Flow CDN$ $95 -$1,917 -$2,429 -$57 -$855 -$799 -$631 -$558 $592 -$726 -$797 $894 C F Statement Fin. C. F CDN$
Total Accruals $4,029 $4,914 $5,057 $5,991 $8,370 $641 -$1,768 $1,293 $317 -$632 -$466 -$2,638 Accruals CDN$
Accruals Ratio 22.07% 25.49% 25.47% 26.59% 29.82% 2.98% -8.00% 5.83% 1.31% -2.51% -1.89% -10.23% Ratio CDN$
Accruals Ratio Is? down down down down down up down up Count 8 38.10% CDN$
Predictive? Yes Yes % right Count 2 25.00% CDN$
Cash $300 $495 $1,160 $2,452 $883 $4,105 $3,850 Cash CDN$
Cash Per Share $0.40 $0.66 $1.53 $3.24 $1.17 $4.93 $4.62 $1.53 <-Median-> 5 Cash per Share CDN$
Percentage of Stock Price 1.20% 1.98% 4.61% 10.67% 4.87% 28.15% 23.32% 4.87% <-Median-> 5 % of Stock Price CDN$
Notes
November 13, 2016. Last estimates were for 2015, 2016 and 2017 of $13219M, $13972M and $14999M for Revenue, $1.07, -$0.13 and $0.48 for EPS, $2.23, $2.21 and $2.94 for CFPS and $927M, -$37M and $415M for Net Income.
November 18, 2015. Last estimates were for 2014, 2015 and 2016 of $20261M, $19639M and $19850M for Revenue, $1.93, $1.70 and $1.65 for EPS, $5.00, $4.61 and 4.91 for CFPS and $1482M, $1373M and $1352M for Net Income.
November 8, 2014. Last estimates were for 2013, 2014 and 2015 of $17917M, $16900M and $17290M CDN$, $1.70, $1.90 and $2.04 for EPS, $4.21, $4.32 and $4.64 for CFPS.
November 17, 2013. Last estamtes were for 2012 and 2013 of $16961 and 16183M for Revewnue $$2.02 and $2.20 for EPS.
Nov 12, 2012. The last estimates were for 2011 and 2012 of $14.290M and $14.948M CDN$. $1.80 and $2.25 EPS CDN$ amd $4.15 and $4.42 CDN$ CF.
Oct 2011. Last I looked I got esitamtes for 2010 and 2011 of $1.35 and $1.65 for Earnings and $3.20 and $4.13 for Cash Flow.
Oct 2010 NOTE: for changes in 2009, I did not adjust ROE lines to the end of the spreadsheet. ROE is simply net income over book value so it is a relative value. I was not looking for increase in net income
over a period of time. Also, note that Cenovus Engergy is reporting in CDNS and I used these reports. I put the original ECA spreadsheet into Old_Research_portfolio file.
I was reading the split and the company looked at it as a 50/50 split, but the market not quite so simple. However, I am dealing with the split as 50/50.
On November 30, 2009 stock worth $56.57. On Dec 2nd, shares worth $56.43. On Dec 3rd, worth 28.81. Stock did not fall until Dec 3rd.
This company split into two companies in the later part of 2009. A a special resolution was approved on the Arrangement to divide the Corporation into two highly focused and independent, publicly traded companies - Encana Corporation and Cenovus Energy Inc.
Oct 10, 2010. When I last looked at this company, I got 2009 and 2010 estimates of $3.80 and $3.00 for earnings and $10 and $9 for CF in US$.
May 13, 2008, since I last looked at this stock, the CDN US currency gap as narrowed. This shows up in the dividend being lower in CDN$.
Apr 11 2009 AR 2008
AP 2007. It has of course done very well as it is in Oil. I have done well and will do so while oil is high.
AP 2006. TD still rates this a buy. I have done well with this stock, but lets face it, I only have 100 shares so it is not going to affect much.
AP 2005. TD Newcrest is still rating this a buy. I have very little into resources. Good to hold for now.
I think I can make money on this stock. They can make a profit.
Called Alberta Energy Co. - to 2001 $2,360.00
I do not know where I got 2001 figures from, all reports seem different from mine.
Split 2009 value of shares 51.51% Encana 1.94 48.49% Cenovus 2.06
bacically halfed all values and kept shares same value. This should make spreadsheet correct for past values.
Sector
Energy, Resources
What should this stock accomplish?
Personally, I buy resource stocks when they are low and sell when they are high. Rsecource stocks always are boom and bust and it is always best to buy at bust times.
Would I buy this company and Why.
If I wanted to buy a resource stock, I would consider this one.
Dividends
Third cycle dividends. Dividends are paid near the end of the months of March, June, September and December. Dividends are declared for shareholders of record in one month and paid in that month.
For example dividends declared for shareholders of record of March 15, 2013 were paid on March 28, 2013.
Why am I following this stock.
This is another stock that was talked about at the 2010 Money Show in Toronto. There were those who liked oil companies and they mentioned both Suncor Energy Inc. (TSX-SU) and Cenovus
Energy Inc. (TSX-CVE). This company was split off from EnCana (TSX-ECA) in 2009. My spreadsheet reflects this split. I was also following Alberta Energy Co. (TSX-AEC) into EnCana.
How they make their money
Cenovus Energy Inc. is an integrated oil company. The Company's operations include enhanced oil recovery (EOR) properties and established crude oil and natural gas production in Alberta and
Saskatchewan. It also has ownership interests in two refineries in Illinois and Texas, United States.
Alberta Energy Company Ltd. (AEC) and PanCanadian Energy Corporation (PanCanadian) companies merged to form EnCana in April 2002. EnCana split into EnCana and Cenovus (Nov 2009).
For most ratios, lower is better when looking for a good stock price. However, there are exceptions such as for yield and asset/liability ratios and here you want a higher ratios to indicate a good stock price.
Also, for the Operational Profit Margin, a higher percentage is better. With the OPM, you should only compare companies in similar industries.
On Nov 22 2013 Shares %, Val $M
Selling last 30 days 0.020 $530,129
Officers - sale price $26.27
Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M
On Nov 17 2013 Nov 11 2012 Nov 17 2013 Nov 08 2014 Nov 18 2015 Nov 13 2016
Ferguson, Brian Charles 0.106 0.01% 0.106 0.01% 0.123 0.02% 0.140 0.02% 0.148 0.02%
CEO - Shares - Amount $3.528 $3.237 $2.949 $2.458 $2.933
Options - percentage 1.353 0.18% 1.816 0.24% 2.351 0.31% 2.956 0.35% 3.601 0.43%
Options - amount $45.049 $55.221 $56.357 $51.734 $71.331
Ruste, Ivor Melvin 0.015 0.00% 0.022 0.00% 0.037 0.00% 0.049 0.01% 0.051 0.01%
CFO - Shares - Amount $0.489 $0.671 $0.881 $0.855 $1.006
Options - percentage 0.421 0.06% 0.591 0.08% 0.791 0.10% 0.983 0.12% 1.194 0.14%
Options - amount $14.029 $17.956 $18.961 $17.196 $23.650
Chhina, Harbir Singh 0.420 0.05% 0.423 0.05%
Officer - Shares - Amount $7.355 $8.387
Options - percentage 1.338 0.16% 1.539 0.18%
Options - amount $23.418 $30.487
Brannan, John 0.100 0.01% 0.106 0.01% 0.112 0.01%
Officer - Shares - Amount $3.325 $3.208 $2.690
Options - percentage 1.049 0.14% 1.214 0.16% 1.425 0.19%
Options - amount $34.906 $36.893 $34.145
Cunningham, Ralph Sanford 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% Ceased to be insider
Director - Shares - Amount $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 on April 27, 2016
Options - percentage 0.135 0.02% 0.142 0.02% 0.158 0.02%
Options - amount $4.105 $3.392 $2.759
Delaney, Ian William 0.150 0.02% 0.150 0.02% 0.150 0.02% 0.150 0.02%
Director - Shares - Amount $4.994 $3.596 $2.625 $2.972
Options - percentage 0.155 0.02% 0.183 0.02% 0.199 0.02% 0.219 0.03%
Options - amount $5.148 $4.375 $3.491 $4.338
Grandin, Michael Anthony 0.123 0.02% 0.123 0.01% 0.123 0.01%
Chairman - Shares - Amt $2.951 $2.155 $2.439
Options - percentage 0.137 0.02% 0.153 0.02% 0.161 0.02%
Options - amount $3.275 $2.685 $3.188
Increase in O/S Shares 1.344 0.18% 0.970 0.13% 1.057 0.14% 0.000 0.00% Yes 0 for 2015
due to SO $44.74 $29.488 $25.336 $0.000
Book Value $49.000 $31.000 $32.000 $0.000
Insider Buying -$0.882 -$0.030
Insider Selling $0.000 $0.556
Net Insider Selling $2.333 -$0.882 $0.526
% of Market Cap 0.01% -0.01% 0.00%
Directors 9 9 10 11
Women 1 11% 1 11% 1 10% 2 18%
Minorities 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%
Institutions/Holdings 555 69.68% 523 67.76% 511 72.02% 493 73.05% 202 43.76%
Total Shares Held 526.036 69.58% 512.125 67.74% 545.201 65.43% 608.647 73.04% 80.742 9.69%
Increase/Decrease -6.655 -1.28% 1.887 0.37% 6.491 1.20% 17.783 3.01% 1.205 1.52%
Starting No. of Shares 519.381 510.238 538.711 590.863 79.537 Reuters
Copyright 2008 Website of SPBrunner. All rights reserved.