This report is for educational purposes only, and not to provide investment advice.  Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own research or consult a investment professional.
While I try to be accurate, I assume no responsibility for any figure in this spreadsheet. Estimates Estimates Estimates
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Canadian Tire Corp CTC.A OTC: CDNAF http://corp.canadiantire.ca/  Fiscal Yr: Dec 31
Year  2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Year End Date 31-Dec-05 30-Dec-06 29-Dec-07 3-Jan-09 2-Jan-10 1-Jan-11 31-Dec-11 29-Dec-12 28-Dec-13 3-Jan-15 2-Jan-16 31-Dec-16 31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19 Value Description #Y Item
Accounting Rules C GAAP IRFS IRFS IRFS IRFS IRFS IRFS IRFS IRFS IRFS Accounting Rules
Revenue* $7,775 $8,569 $8,621 $9,121 $8,687 $8,981 $10,387 $11,427 $11,786 $12,463 $12,280 $12,681 $13,506 $13,777 $14,447 47.99% <-Total Growth 10 Revenue
Increase 8.68% 10.22% 0.61% 5.80% -4.77% 3.39% 15.66% 10.01% 3.14% 5.75% -1.47% 3.27% 6.51% 2.01% 4.86% 4.00% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue 47.99%
5 year Running Average $6,560 $7,199 $7,734 $8,248 $8,555 $8,796 $9,159 $9,721 $10,253 $11,009 $11,668 $12,127 $12,543 $12,941 $13,338 4.07% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue 22.08%
Revenue per Share $95.45 $105.18 $105.82 $111.78 $106.45 $110.27 $127.54 $140.83 $147.35 $160.92 $165.80 $179.24 $190.91 $194.74 $204.21 5.35% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average 68.46%
Increase 8.24% 10.20% 0.61% 5.63% -4.77% 3.59% 15.66% 10.42% 4.63% 9.21% 3.03% 8.11% 6.51% 2.01% 4.86% 5.77% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average 32.40%
5 year Running Average $81.52 $88.88 $95.15 $101.28 $104.94 $107.90 $112.37 $119.37 $126.49 $137.38 $148.49 $158.83 $168.84 $178.32 $186.98 5.48% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Revenue per Share 70.42%
P/S (Price/Sales) Med 0.69 0.65 0.74 0.49 0.45 0.55 0.47 0.48 0.57 0.69 0.74 0.67 7.04% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Revenue per Share 40.54%
P/S (Price/Sales) Close 0.73 0.67 0.70 0.39 0.54 0.62 0.52 0.49 0.68 0.76 0.71 0.78 0.80 0.78 0.75 5.98% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average 78.71%
*Revenue in M CDN $ P/S Med 10 yr  0.56 5 yr  0.67 43.21% Diff M/C 7.17% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average 41.34%
Adjusted EPS Diluted $7.02 $7.94 $8.61 $9.22
Adjusted EPS $3.84 $4.26 $5.03 $4.85 $4.26 $5.05 $5.65 $6.46 $7.07 $8.01 $8.66 $9.25 $10.00 $11.00 $12.51 117.14% <-Total Growth 10 Adjusted EPS same as  Other EPS in 2015
Increase 16.36% 10.94% 18.08% -3.58% -12.16% 18.54% 11.88% 14.34% 9.44% 13.30% 8.11% 6.81% 8.11% 10.00% 13.73% 8.06% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Adjusted EPS 117.14%
Earnings Yield 5.5% 6.0% 6.8% 11.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 7.1% 6.5% 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 10.36% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Adjusted EPS 63.72%
5 year Running Average $3.34 $3.85 $4.26 $4.45 $4.69 $4.97 $5.25 $5.70 $6.45 $7.17 $7.89 $8.60 $9.38 $10.28 8.97% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average 136.09%
Payout Ratio 15.10% 15.49% 14.71% 17.32% 19.72% 16.63% 19.47% 18.58% 19.80% 23.41% 24.25% 24.86% 26.00% 23.64% 20.78% 9.69% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average 58.82%
5 year Running Average 15.20% 14.95% 15.60% 16.46% 16.72% 17.55% 18.35% 18.88% 19.90% 21.41% 22.50% 23.90% 24.46% 23.73% 17.95% <-Median-> 10 Payout 5 yr Running Average
Price/AEPS Median 17.09 16.01 15.49 11.35 11.24 11.94 10.69 10.50 11.87 13.90 14.19 13.00 14.83 0.00 0.00 11.91 <-Median-> 10 Price/AEPS Median
Price/AEPS High 18.17 17.54 17.35 14.82 13.43 13.50 12.17 11.30 14.23 16.10 15.80 14.79 15.83 0.00 0.00 14.51 <-Median-> 10 Price/AEPS High
Price/AEPS Low 16.00 14.47 13.62 7.88 9.06 10.38 9.21 9.69 9.51 11.70 12.58 11.21 13.84 0.00 0.00 10.04 <-Median-> 10 Price/AEPS Low
Price/AEPS Close 18.11 16.64 14.75 8.96 13.50 13.50 11.66 10.74 14.07 15.32 13.64 15.06 15.26 13.87 12.20 13.57 <-Median-> 10 Price/AEPS Close
Trailing P/AEPS Close 21.07 18.46 17.42 8.64 11.86 16.01 13.05 12.28 15.40 17.36 14.75 16.08 16.50 15.26 13.87 15.08 <-Median-> 10 Trailing P/AEPS Close
Median Values DPR 10 Yrs 19.59% 5 Yrs   23.41% P/CF 5 Yrs   in order 13.00 14.79 11.21 14.07 17.41% Diff M/C
* Adjusted Net Income/Adjusted EPS TD Waterhouse E/P 10 Yrs 7.37% 5Yrs 7.11%
-$4.26 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.25
-$5.65 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.25
-$3.34 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $7.89
-$4.97 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $7.89
EPS Basic $4.04 $4.35 $5.12 $4.59 $4.10 $5.56 $5.73 $6.13 $6.96 $7.65 $8.66 $9.25 112.64% <-Total Growth 10 EPS Basic
EPS Diluted* $3.98 $4.31 $5.12 $4.59 $4.10 $5.56 $5.71 $6.10 $6.91 $7.59 $8.61 $9.22 $10.00 $11.00 $12.51 113.92% <-Total Growth 10 EPS Diluted
Change 12.75% 8.29% 18.79% -10.35% -10.68% 35.61% 2.70% 6.83% 13.28% 9.84% 13.44% 7.08% 8.46% 10.00% 13.73% 7.90% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Earnings per Share 113.92%
Earnings Yield 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 10.6% 7.1% 8.2% 8.7% 8.8% 6.9% 6.2% 7.3% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 10.06% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Earnings per Share 61.47%
5 year Running Average $3.04 $3.46 $3.98 $4.31 $4.42 $4.74 $5.02 $5.21 $5.68 $6.37 $6.98 $7.69 $8.47 $9.28 $10.27 8.31% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 yr Running Average 122.14%
10 year Running Average $2.44 $2.72 $3.05 $3.30 $3.52 $3.89 $4.24 $4.60 $4.99 $5.40 $5.86 $6.35 $6.84 $7.48 $8.32 8.91% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 yr Running Average 53.23%
* ESP per share (Cdn GAAP) (Adjusted earnings strip out non-operatinl items and used to determine dividends.) E/P 10 Yrs 7.21% 5Yrs 6.95%
-$4.31 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.22
-$5.71 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.22
-$3.46 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $7.69
-$5.02 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $7.69
Special Dividends $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 <-Median-> 10 Special Dividends
Dividend* $0.58 $0.66 $0.74 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $1.10 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $2.30 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 248.48% <-Total Growth 10 Dividends
Increase 16.00% 13.79% 12.12% 13.51% 0.00% 0.00% 30.95% 9.09% 16.67% 33.93% 12.00% 9.52% 13.04% 0.00% 0.00% Count 27 Years of data
Dividends 5 Yr Running $0.46 $0.51 $0.58 $0.66 $0.73 $0.78 $0.87 $0.96 $1.08 $1.28 $1.54 $1.78 $2.06 $2.30 $2.44 91.80% <-Median-> 10 Dividends 5 Yr Running
Yield H/L Price 0.88% 0.97% 0.95% 1.53% 1.75% 1.39% 1.82% 1.77% 1.67% 1.68% 1.71% 1.91% 1.75% 1.70% <-Median-> 10 Yield H/L Price
Yield on High  Price 0.83% 0.88% 0.85% 1.17% 1.47% 1.23% 1.60% 1.64% 1.39% 1.45% 1.53% 1.68% 1.64% 1.46% <-Median-> 10 Yield on High  Price
Yield on Low Price 0.94% 1.07% 1.08% 2.20% 2.18% 1.60% 2.11% 1.92% 2.08% 2.00% 1.93% 2.22% 1.88% 2.04% <-Median-> 10 Yield on Low Price
Yield on Close Price 0.83% 0.93% 1.00% 1.93% 1.46% 1.23% 1.67% 1.73% 1.41% 1.53% 1.78% 1.65% 1.70% 1.70% 1.70% 1.59% <-Median-> 10 Yield on Close Price
Payout Ratio EPS 14.57% 15.31% 14.45% 18.30% 20.49% 15.11% 19.26% 19.67% 20.26% 24.70% 24.39% 24.95% 26.00% 23.64% 20.78% 19.97% <-Median-> 10 Payout Ratio EPS
DPR EPS 5 Yr Running 14.98% 14.68% 14.48% 15.42% 16.56% 16.55% 17.38% 18.50% 18.96% 20.13% 21.98% 23.09% 24.27% 24.72% 23.76% 17.94% <-Median-> 10 DPR EPS 5 Yr Running
Payout Ratio CFPS 10.94% 7.88% 34.51% 37.58% 16.37% 6.90% 6.37% 13.11% 12.54% 25.26% 15.89% 16.50% 14.86% 13.83% #DIV/0! 16.13% <-Median-> 10 Payout Ratio CFPS
DPR CF 5 Yr Running 9.21% 8.26% 10.54% 14.36% 15.78% 13.04% 11.20% 10.49% 9.80% 11.22% 13.18% 16.16% 16.25% 16.19% #DIV/0! 12.13% <-Median-> 10 DPR CF 5 Yr Running
Payout Ratio CFPS WC 6.61% 7.71% 11.16% 11.63% 9.87% 8.34% 6.40% 6.71% 9.35% 10.58% 34.63% 10.33% 14.86% 13.83% #DIV/0! 10.10% <-Median-> 10 Payout Ratio CFPS WC
DPR CF WC 5 Yr Running 6.80% 6.78% 7.51% 8.53% 9.22% 9.56% 8.78% 7.92% 7.84% 8.24% 10.40% 11.25% 13.09% 13.93% #DIV/0! 8.66% <-Median-> 10 DPR CF WC 5 Yr Running
Median Valus 5 Yr Med 5 Yr Cl 1.71% 1.65% 5 Yr Med Payout 24.39% 15.89% 10.33% 13.30% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Dividends
* Dividends per share  5 Yr Med and Cur. -0.32% 3.16% Last Div Inc ---> $0.575 $0.650 13.0% 15.90% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Dividends
-$0.66 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.30
-$1.10 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.30
Historical Dividends Historical High Div 3.44% Low Div 0.87% Ave Div 2.16% Med Div 1.68% Close Div 1.57% Historical Dividends
High/Ave/Median Values Curr diff Exp. -50.48%     95.81% Exp. -20.95% Cheap 1.40% Cheap 8.18% High/Ave/Median 
Future Dividend Yield Div Yd 2.62% earning in 5 Years at IRR of 9.00% Div Inc. 53.86% Future Dividend Yield
Future Dividend Yield Div Yd 4.03% earning in 10 Years at IRR of 9.00% Div Inc. 136.74% Future Dividend Yield
Future Dividend Yield Div Yd 6.21% earning in 15 Years at IRR of 9.00% Div Inc. 264.25% Future Dividend Yield
I am earning GC Div Gr 550.00% 02/11/00 # yrs -> 16 2000 $22.32 Cap Gain 583.78% I am earning GC
I am earning Div org yield 1.79% 12/31/14 Pension Div G Yrly 13.39% Div start $0.40 -1.79% 11.65% I am earning Div
I am earning GC Div Gr 209.52% 6/5/09 # yrs -> 7 2009 $51.76 Cap Gain 194.86% I am earning GC
I am earning Div org yield 1.62% 12/31/14 Trading Div G Yrly 22.46% Div start $0.84 -1.62% 5.02% I am earning Div
Cost covered if held 5 years 8.76% 10.79% 10.10% 9.40% 7.61% 5.97% 6.39% 6.19% 9.77% 13.39% 12.73% 14.69% 15.15% 13.67% 10.96% 9.59% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price
Cost covered if held 10 years 30.02% 24.21% 18.42% 14.38% 14.68% 23.82% 29.30% 26.99% 24.62% 20.95% 17.67% 19.41% 19.37% 30.62% 38.87% 20.18% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price
Cost covered if held 15 years 28.55% 29.73% 39.31% 47.98% 56.17% 57.52% 47.47% 36.60% 28.92% 31.02% 53.31% 66.99% 63.01% 57.10% 46.31% 47.73% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price
Cost covered if held 20 years 46.36% 49.55% 66.86% 83.25% 102.61% 111.36% 94.80% 75.38% 59.93% 62.10% 83.25% <-Median-> 7 Paid Median Price
Cost covered if held 25 years 81.25% 89.89% 125.57% 158.47% 190.92% 85.57% <-Median-> 2 Paid Median Price
Yield if held 5 yrs 2.23% 2.80% 2.59% 2.38% 1.75% 1.28% 1.61% 1.54% 2.54% 3.91% 3.48% 3.81% 3.83% 3.10% 2.33% 2.46% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price
Yield if held 10 yrs 4.07% 3.52% 2.79% 2.27% 2.14% 3.23% 4.67% 4.21% 3.96% 3.90% 3.20% 3.37% 3.34% 4.72% 5.43% 3.30% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price
Yield if held 15 yrs 2.64% 3.00% 4.23% 5.51% 6.08% 5.89% 5.87% 4.53% 3.78% 4.78% 8.07% 9.77% 9.11% 7.36% 5.41% 5.69% <-Median-> 10 Paid Median Price
Yield if held 20 yrs 3.82% 5.00% 6.86% 9.18% 13.57% 14.73% 12.27% 9.81% 7.03% 6.62% 9.18% <-Median-> 7 Paid Median Price
Yield if held 25 yrs 9.55% 10.45% 14.86% 17.04% 18.82% 10.00% <-Median-> 2 Paid Median Price
Graham No. $55.59 $57.58 $66.14 $67.20 $64.57 $79.04 $83.40 $89.76 $100.22 $103.47 $114.30 $120.34 $125.33 $131.44 $140.17 109.00% <-Total Growth 10 Graham Price
Price/GP Ratio Med 1.18 1.18 1.18 0.82 0.74 0.76 0.72 0.76 0.84 1.08 1.08 1.00 1.18 0.83 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio
Price/GP Ratio High 1.26 1.30 1.32 1.07 0.89 0.86 0.82 0.81 1.00 1.25 1.20 1.14 1.26 1.04 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio
Price/GP Ratio Low 1.11 1.07 1.04 0.57 0.60 0.66 0.62 0.70 0.67 0.91 0.95 0.86 1.10 0.68 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio
Price/GP Ratio Close 1.25 1.23 1.12 0.65 0.89 0.86 0.79 0.77 0.99 1.19 1.03 1.16 1.22 1.16 1.09 0.94 <-Median-> 10 Price/GP Ratio
Prem/Disc Close 25.09% 23.10% 12.18% -35.34% -10.95% -13.72% -20.98% -22.71% -0.73% 18.62% 3.38% 15.73% 21.78% 16.11% 8.88% -5.84% <-Median-> 10 Graham Price
Date Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19
Price Close $69.54 $70.88 $74.20 $43.45 $57.50 $68.19 $65.90 $69.38 $99.49 $122.74 $118.16 $139.27 $152.62 $152.62 $152.62 96.49% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 23.71% 1.93% 4.68% -41.44% 32.34% 18.59% -3.36% 5.28% 43.40% 23.37% -3.73% 17.87% 9.59% 0.00% 0.00% 6.99% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 17.47 16.45 14.49 9.47 14.02 12.26 11.54 11.37 14.40 16.17 13.72 15.11 15.26 13.87 12.20 16.14% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 19.70 17.81 17.22 8.49 12.53 16.63 11.85 12.15 16.31 17.76 15.57 16.18 16.55 15.26 13.87 8.28% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Dividend
Median 10, 5 Yrs D.  per yr 1.29% 1.94% % Tot Ret 15.60% Price Inc 17.87% P/E:  13.87 14.40 18.08% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Dividend
-$70.88 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $139.27
-$65.90 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $139.27
-$70.88 $0.74 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $1.10 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $141.57
-$65.90 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $141.57
Price H/L Med. $65.62 $68.19 $77.91 $55.04 $47.90 $60.31 $60.40 $67.81 $83.93 $111.35 $122.87 $120.24 $148.34 76.33% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 36.42% 3.92% 14.25% -29.35% -12.98% 25.92% 0.15% 12.27% 23.76% 32.68% 10.35% -2.14% 23.37% 5.84% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 16.49 15.82 15.22 11.99 11.68 10.85 10.58 11.12 12.15 14.67 14.27 13.04 14.83 14.76% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 18.59 17.13 18.08 10.75 10.43 14.71 10.86 11.88 13.76 16.11 16.19 13.97 16.09 7.25% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Dividend
P/E on Running 5 yr Average 21.56 19.71 19.59 12.78 10.84 12.73 12.04 13.01 14.79 17.47 17.59 15.64 17.52 16.93% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Dividend
P/E on Running 10 yr Average 26.90 25.08 25.53 16.67 13.59 15.50 14.25 14.76 16.82 20.63 20.97 18.93 21.69 13.33 P/E Ratio Historical Median
Median 10, 5 Yrs D.  per yr 1.42% 2.17% % Tot Ret 19.53% 12.81% Price Inc 12.27% P/E:  12.07 13.04 Count 27 Years of data
-$68.19 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $120.24
-$60.40 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $120.24
-$68.19 $0.74 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $1.10 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $122.54
-$60.40 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $122.54
High Months Dec Nov Jul Jan Aug Dec Jan Sep Sep Dec Jun Jun Feb
Price High $69.79 $74.73 $87.29 $71.88 $57.20 $68.19 $68.77 $73.00 $100.61 $128.99 $136.81 $136.81 $158.29 83.07% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 23.41% 7.08% 16.81% -17.65% -20.42% 19.21% 0.85% 6.15% 37.82% 28.21% 6.06% 0.00% 15.70% 6.23% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 17.54 17.34 17.05 15.66 13.95 12.26 12.04 11.97 14.56 16.99 15.89 14.84 15.83 14.75% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 19.77 18.78 20.25 14.04 12.46 16.63 12.37 12.78 16.49 18.67 18.03 15.89 17.17 15.66 P/E Ratio Historical Median
Median 10, 5 Yrs Price Inc 6.15% P/E:  14.70 14.84 17.74 P/E Ratio Historical High
-$74.73 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $136.81
-$68.77 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $136.81
Low Months Jan Aug Jan Nov Feb May Aug Jan Jan Feb Nov Jan Jan
Price Low $61.45 $61.65 $68.53 $38.20 $38.59 $52.43 $52.03 $62.62 $67.24 $93.71 $108.93 $103.67 $138.39 68.16% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 54.98% 0.33% 11.16% -44.26% 1.02% 35.86% -0.76% 20.35% 7.38% 39.37% 16.24% -4.83% 33.49% 5.33% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 15.44 14.30 13.38 8.32 9.41 9.43 9.11 10.27 9.73 12.35 12.65 11.24 13.84 14.78% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 17.41 15.49 15.90 7.46 8.41 12.79 9.36 10.97 11.02 13.56 14.35 12.04 15.01 10.27 P/E Ratio Historical Median
Median 10, 5 Yrs Price Inc 16.24% P/E:  10.00 11.24 8.78 P/E Ratio Historical Low
-$61.65 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $103.67
-$52.03 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $103.67
Premium for Voting S. $48.46 $31.12 $9.30 $2.60 $4.24 $6.06 $6.61 $11.62 $24.91 $127.26 $81.84 $57.63 $51.38 $51.38 $416.38 $10.46 <-Median-> 10 Premium Versus Cl A
As percent of CTC.A 69.69% 43.91% 12.53% 5.98% 7.37% 8.89% 10.03% 16.75% 25.04% 103.68% 69.26% 41.38% 33.67% 33.67% 272.82% 14.64% <-Median-> 10 Premium Versus Cl A
Date Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18
Price Close Class C $118.00 $102.00 $83.50 $46.05 $61.74 $74.25 $72.51 $81.00 $124.40 $250.00 $200.00 $196.90 $204.00 $204.00 Jul-01 93.04% <-Total Growth 10 Stock Price
Increase 65.03% -13.56% -18.14% -44.85% 34.07% 20.26% -2.34% 11.71% 53.58% 100.96% -20.00% -1.55% 3.61% 0.00% $0.00 6.80% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Stock Price
P/E 29.65 23.67 16.31 10.03 15.06 13.35 12.70 13.28 18.00 32.94 23.23 21.36 20.40 18.55 #DIV/0! 22.12% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Stock Price
Trailing P/E 33.43 25.63 19.37 8.99 13.45 18.11 13.04 14.19 20.39 36.18 26.35 22.87 22.13 20.40 0.00 7.71% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Price & Dividend
Median 10, 5 Yrs D.  per yr 0.91% 1.60% % Tot Ret 11.78% Price Inc 11.71% P/E:  15.68 21.36 0.00 23.71% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Price & Dividend
-$102.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $196.90
-$72.51 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $196.90
-$102.00 $0.74 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $1.10 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $199.20
-$72.51 $1.20 $1.40 $1.88 $2.10 $199.20
Long Term Debt $4,344 $3,898 Debt
Change -10.26% Change
Debt/Market Cap Ratio 0.52 0.42 0.47 <-Median-> 2 Debt/Market Cap Ratio
Goodwill & Intangibles $1,110 $1,090 $1,186 $1,252 $1,247 $1,280 Intangibles Goodwill
Change -1.81% 8.77% 5.58% -0.39% 2.69% Change
Intangible/Market Cap Ratio 0.21 0.19 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.14 <-Median-> 6 Intangible/Market Cap Ratio
Class A non-voting $5,426 $5,532 $5,791 $3,397 $4,495 $5,320 $5,142 $5,392 $7,617 $9,086 $8,347 $9,376 $10,275 $10,275 $10,275 69.49% <-Total Growth 10 Class A non-voting
Common Shares $404 $349 $286 $158 $211 $254 $248 $277 $426 $856 $685 $674 $698 $698 $1,948 93.04% <-Total Growth 10 Common Shares
Market Cap $5,830 $5,881 $6,077 $3,554 $4,707 $5,574 $5,390 $5,670 $8,043 $9,941 $9,031 $10,050 $10,973 $10,973 $12,223 70.89% <-Total Growth 10 Market Cap
Diluted # of Shares in Million 81.80 81.81 81.18 79.61 76.58 72.56 72.56 -11.31% <-Total Growth 5 Diluted
Change 0.00% -0.76% -1.93% -3.81% -5.26% 0.00% -1.93% <-Median-> 5 Change
Average # of Sh in M 81.76 81.58 81.50 81.52 81.68 81.57 81.45 81.44 80.65 78.96 76.15 72.36 72.36 -11.30% <-Total Growth 10 Basic
Change 0.96% -0.22% -0.10% 0.02% 0.20% -0.13% -0.15% -0.01% -0.96% -2.10% -3.56% -4.98% 0.00% -0.14% <-Median-> 10 Change
Difference -0.4% -0.1% 0.0% 0.1% -0.1% -0.2% 0.0% -0.4% -0.8% -1.9% -2.7% -2.2% -2.2% -0.26% <-Median-> 10 Difference
Class A non-voting 78.03 78.05 78.05 78.18 78.18 78.02 78.02 77.72 76.56 74.02 70.64 67.32 67.32 67.32 67.32 95.16% Ratio of Shares
Common Shares 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 4.84% Ratio of Shares
# of Share in Millions 81.46 81.47 81.47 81.60 81.60 81.44 81.44 81.14 79.98 77.45 74.06 70.75 70.75 70.75 70.75 -1.40% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Shares
Change 0.41% 0.02% 0.00% 0.16% 0.00% -0.19% 0.00% -0.37% -1.43% -3.17% -4.37% -4.47% 0.00% 0.00% -2.78% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Shares
CF fr Op $Millon $431.8 $682.5 $174.7 $182.4 $418.8 $991.2 $1,405.5 $743.0 $893.2 $574.8 $978.9 $986.4 $1,238.1 $1,330.0 44.53% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow
Increase 5.06% 58.06% -74.40% 4.41% 129.61% 136.68% 41.80% -47.14% 20.22% -35.65% 70.30% 0.77% 25.51% 7.43% DRIP, SO Buy Backs
5 year Running Average $398.8 $497.9 $444.0 $376.5 $378.0 $489.9 $634.5 $748.2 $890.3 $921.5 $919.1 $835.3 $934.3 $1,021.6 67.74% <-Total Growth 10 CF 5 Yr Running
CFPS $5.30 $8.38 $2.14 $2.24 $5.13 $12.17 $17.26 $9.16 $11.17 $7.42 $13.22 $13.94 $17.50 $18.80 66.43% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow per Share
Increase 4.63% 58.03% -74.40% 4.24% 129.61% 137.14% 41.80% -46.94% 21.96% -33.54% 78.09% 5.49% 25.51% 7.43% 3.75% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow 44.53%
5 year Running Average $4.95 $6.15 $5.47 $4.62 $4.64 $6.01 $7.79 $9.19 $10.98 $11.43 $11.64 $10.98 $12.65 $14.18 -6.84% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow -29.82%
P/CF on Med Price 12.38 8.14 36.33 24.62 9.33 4.96 3.50 7.41 7.52 15.00 9.30 8.62 8.48 5.23% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow per Share 66.43%
P/CF on Closing Price 13.12 8.46 34.60 19.44 11.20 5.60 3.82 7.58 8.91 16.54 8.94 9.99 8.72 -4.18% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow per Share -19.21%
-2.67% Diff M/C 5.97% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CFPS 5 yr Running 78.56%
Excl.Working Capital CF $283.1 $14.8 $365.5 $406.9 $275.9 -$170.7 -$5.4 $708.0 $304.2 $797.6 -$529.8 $588.9 $0.0 $0.0 7.11% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS 5 yr Running 41.00%
CF fr Op $M WC $715 $697 $540 $589 $695 $821 $1,400 $1,451 $1,197 $1,372 $449 $1,575 $1,238 $1,330 125.91% <-Total Growth 10 Cash Flow less WC
Increase 13.78% -2.46% -22.53% 9.09% 17.89% 18.11% 70.64% 3.64% -17.48% 14.61% -67.28% 250.77% -21.41% 7.43% 8.49% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Cash Flow less WC 125.91%
5 year Running Average $540.4 $607.5 $623.0 $634.0 $647.3 $668.4 $809.0 $991.1 $1,112.7 $1,248.3 $1,174.0 $1,209.0 $1,166.5 $1,193.0 2.39% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Cash Flow less WC 12.51%
CFPS Excl. WC $8.78 $8.56 $6.63 $7.22 $8.51 $10.07 $17.19 $17.88 $14.97 $17.72 $6.06 $22.27 $17.50 $18.80 7.13% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CF less WC 5 Yr Run 99.03%
Increase 13.32% -2.48% -22.53% 8.92% 17.89% 18.34% 70.64% 4.02% -16.28% 18.37% -65.78% 267.20% -21.41% 7.43% 8.37% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CF less WC 5 Yr Run 49.46%
5 year Running Average $6.71 $7.50 $7.67 $7.79 $7.94 $8.20 $9.93 $12.18 $13.73 $15.57 $14.77 $15.78 $15.70 $16.47 10.03% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CFPS - Less WC 160.16%
P/CF on Med Price 7.48 7.97 11.75 7.62 5.63 5.99 3.51 3.79 5.61 6.28 20.26 5.40 8.48 5.31% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS - Less WC 29.52%
P/CF on Closing Price 7.92 8.28 11.19 6.02 6.75 6.77 3.83 3.88 6.65 6.93 19.49 6.25 8.72 8.12 7.73% <-IRR #YR-> 10 CFPS 5 yr Running 110.48%
*Cash Generated from Operating Activities CF/-WC P/CF Med 10 yr 8.96 5 yr  8.62 P/CF Med 10 yr 5.81 5 yr  5.61 50.21% Diff M/C 9.72% <-IRR #YR-> 5 CFPS 5 yr Running 58.98%
Chges in WC from Google Finance for 2011 to 2016
-$8.56 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $22.27 CFPS - Less WC
-$17.19 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $22.27 CFPS - Less WC
-$7.50 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.78 CFPS 5 yr Running
-$9.93 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.78 CFPS 5 yr Running
Change in operating working capital and other $270.20 -$83.5 -$115.30 $126.10
Provisions -$8.80 -$17.1 -$12.70 -$36.20
Provisisons $14.00 $3.2 $0.40 -$2.40
Change in loans receivable -$274.10 -$332.4 -$25.20 -$306.10
Interest paid -$126.50 -$122.0 -$101.40 -$114.00
Interest received $12.00 $10.4 $8.40 $6.50
Income taxes paid -$191.20 -$256.5 -$284.00 -$262.80
Other        
Sum -$304.4 -$797.9 -$529.80 -$588.90
Googhle -$304.2 -$797.6 -$529.80 -$588.90
Difference -$0.2 -$0.3 $0.00 $0.00
OPM 5.55% 7.96% 2.03% 2.00% 4.82% 11.04% 13.53% 6.50% 7.58% 4.61% 7.97% 7.78% -2.34% <-Total Growth 10 OPM
Increase -3.33% 43.40% -74.56% -1.31% 141.10% 128.92% 22.60% -51.95% 16.56% -39.14% 72.84% -2.42% Should increase  or be stable.
Diff from Median -21.1% 13.1% -71.2% -71.6% -31.5% 56.8% 92.2% -7.6% 7.6% -34.5% 13.2% 10.5% 0.00 <-Median-> 10 OPM
*Operational Profit Margin (CF/Revenue) Ratio OPM 10 Yrs 7.04% 5 Yrs 7.58% should be  zero, it is a   check on calculations
Current Assets $2,981 $2,541 $3,116 $3,979 $5,113 $5,005 $6,957 $7,749 $7,978 $8,510 $8,692 $8,638 Liquidity ratio of 1.5 and up, best
Current Liabilities $1,821 $1,664 $2,110 $2,000 $2,564 $2,112 $4,153 $4,624 $4,322 $4,579 $3,884 $4,681 1.85 <-Median-> 10 Ratio
Liquidity 1.64 1.53 1.48 1.99 1.99 2.37 1.68 1.68 1.85 1.86 2.24 1.85 1.85 <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Liq. with CF aft div 1.85 1.91 1.53 2.05 2.13 2.81 1.99 1.82 2.03 1.95 2.45 2.02 2.02 <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Liq. CF re  Inv+Div  1.38 1.70 0.96 1.67 1.56 2.06 1.56 1.82 1.71 1.73 2.27 1.90 1.82 <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Assets $5,956 $5,805 $6,743 $7,788 $8,790 $8,764 $12,339 $13,181 $13,630 $14,553 $14,988 $15,303 Debt Ratio of 1.5 and up, best
Liabilities $3,145 $3,019 $3,649 $4,220 $5,102 $4,697 $7,930 $8,418 $8,180 $8,922 $9,198 $9,566 1.65 <-Median-> 10 Ratio
Debt Ratio 1.89 1.92 1.85 1.85 1.72 1.87 1.56 1.57 1.67 1.63 1.63 1.60 1.63 <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Book Value $2,811 $2,785 $3,094 $3,568 $3,688 $4,067 $4,409 $4,764 $5,450 $5,631 $5,790 $5,737 $5,737 $5,737 $5,737 105.99% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value
NCI $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $283 $775 $796 $799
Book Value $2,811 $2,785 $3,094 $3,568 $3,688 $4,067 $4,409 $4,764 $5,167 $4,856 $4,994 $4,939 $4,939 $4,939 $4,939 77.32% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value
Book Value per Share $34.51 $34.19 $37.98 $43.73 $45.19 $49.93 $54.14 $58.71 $64.60 $62.69 $67.43 $69.81 $69.81 $69.81 $69.81 104.19% <-Total Growth 10 Book Value per Share
Change 10.81% -0.94% 11.08% 15.14% 3.36% 10.49% 8.42% 8.44% 10.05% -2.96% 7.56% 3.52% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 66.90% P/B Ratio Current/Historical Median
P/B Ratio (Median) 1.90 1.99 2.05 1.26 1.06 1.21 1.12 1.16 1.30 1.78 1.82 1.72 1.31 P/B Ratio Historical Median
P/B Ratio (Close) 2.02 2.07 1.95 0.99 1.27 1.37 1.22 1.18 1.54 1.96 1.75 2.00 2.19 2.19 2.19 7.40% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Book Value per Share 104.19%
Change 11.65% 2.89% -5.76% -49.14% 28.04% 7.34% -10.86% -2.92% 30.31% 27.13% -10.50% 13.86% 9.59% 0.00% 0.00% 5.22% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Book Value per Share 28.95%
Leverage (A/BK) 2.12 2.08 2.18 2.18 2.38 2.16 2.80 2.77 2.50 2.58 2.59 2.67 2.54 <-Median-> 10 A/BV
Debt/Equity Ratio 1.12 1.08 1.18 1.18 1.38 1.16 1.80 1.77 1.50 1.58 1.59 1.67 1.54 <-Median-> 10 Debt/Eq Ratio
Sharerholders Equity (Assets less liabilities) P/BV 10 yr Med 1.28 5 yr Med 1.72 70.95% Diff M/C
-$34.19 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $69.81
-$54.14 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $69.81
Comprehensive Income $623.5 $660.9 $801.4 $634.4
NCI $3.2 $35.4 $74.0 $79.6
Shareholders $359.0 $521.4 $193.0 $444.3 $496.1 $477.0 $620.3 $625.5 $727.4 $554.8 54.54% <-Total Growth 9 Comprehensive Income
Increase 45.24% -62.98% 130.21% 11.66% -3.85% 30.04% 0.84% 16.29% -23.73% 0.84% <-Median-> 5 Comprehensive Income
5 Yr Running Average $402.8 $426.4 $446.1 $532.6 $589.3 $601.0 4.96% <-IRR #YR-> 9 Comprehensive Income #DIV/0!
ROE 11.6% 14.6% 5.2% 10.9% 11.3% 10.0% 11.4% 11.1% 12.6% 9.7% 2.26% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Comprehensive Income 11.83%
5Yr Median 11.3% 10.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.3% 11.1% 8.33% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 Yr Running Average #DIV/0!
% Difference from NI -14.0% 39.3% -42.4% -2.1% 6.2% -4.4% 10.5% 3.6% 10.3% -17.1% 8.33% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 Yr Running Average 49.22%
Median Values Diff 5, 10 yr 0.8% 3.6% 11.1% <-Median-> 5 Return on Equity
-$359.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $554.8
-$496.1 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $554.8
-$402.8 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $601.0
-$402.8 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $601.0
Current Liability Coverage Ratio 0.39 0.42 0.26 0.29 0.27 0.39 0.34 0.31 0.28 0.30 0.12 0.34   CFO / Current Liabilities
5 year Median 0.33 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 29.7% <-Median-> 10 Current Liability Cov Ratio
Asset Efficiency Ratio 12.00% 12.01% 8.01% 7.57% 7.90% 9.36% 11.35% 11.01% 8.79% 9.43% 3.00% 10.29% CFO / Total Assets
5 year Median 10.91% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 8.01% 8.01% 8.01% 9.36% 9.36% 9.43% 9.43% 9.43% 9.1% <-Median-> 10 Return on Assets 
Return on Assets ROA 5.5% 6.1% 6.2% 4.8% 3.8% 5.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% Net  Income/Assets Return on Assets
5Yr Median 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.2% 4.8% 3.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.3% <-Median-> 10 Asset Efficiency Ratio
Return on Equity ROE 11.7% 12.7% 13.5% 10.5% 9.1% 11.2% 10.6% 10.5% 10.3% 10.7% 11.4% 11.7% Net Inc/ Shareholders' equity Return on Equity
5Yr Median 10.4% 11.7% 11.8% 11.8% 11.7% 11.2% 10.6% 10.5% 10.5% 10.6% 10.6% 10.7% 10.7% <-Median-> 10 Return on Equity
Net Income $564.4 $639.3 $735.9 $747.5
NCI $3.2 $35.3 $76.5 $78.4
Shareholders $330.1 $354.6 $417.6 $374.2 $335.0 $453.6 $467.0 $499.2 $561.2 $604.0 $659.4 $669.1 $716.0 $734.0 88.69% <-Total Growth 10 Net Income
Increase 10.62% 7.42% 17.77% -10.39% -10.48% 35.40% 2.95% 6.90% 12.42% 7.63% 9.17% 1.47% 7.01% 2.51% EPS/CF Ratio should not be higher than 1.00
5 Yr Running Average $250.8 $286.4 $329.5 $355.0 $362.3 $387.0 $409.5 $425.8 $463.2 $517.0 $558.2 $598.6 $641.9 $676.5 6.56% <-IRR #YR-> 10 Net Income
Operating Cash Flow $431.8 $682.5 $174.7 $182.4 $418.8 $991.2 $1,405.5 $743.0 $893.2 $574.8 $978.9 -$782.8 7.46% <-IRR #YR-> 5 Net Income
Investment Cash Flow -$618.4 -$197.5 -$1,259 -$456.5 -$944.2 -$770.1 -$1,161.4 $261.5 -$786.4 -$589.5 -$299.0 -$299.0 7.65% <-IRR #YR-> 10 5 Yr Running Ave.
Total Accruals $516.7 -$130.4 $1,502 $648.3 $860.4 $232.5 $222.9 -$505.3 $454.4 $618.7 -$20.5 $1,750.9 7.89% <-IRR #YR-> 5 5 Yr Running Ave.
Total Assets $5,955.6 $5,804.6 $6,743 $7,788 $8,790 $8,764 $12,339 $13,181 $13,630 $14,553 $14,988 $15,303 Balance Sheet Assets
Accruals Ratio 8.68% -2.25% 22.28% 8.32% 9.79% 2.65% 1.81% -3.83% 3.33% 4.25% -0.14% 11.44% 3.33% <-Median-> 5 Ratio
EPS/CF Ratio 0.45 0.50 0.77 0.64 0.48 0.55 0.33 0.34 0.46 0.43 1.42 0.41 0.47 <-Median-> 10 EPS/CF Ratio
-$355 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $669
-$467 $0 $0 $0 $0 $669
-$286 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $599
-$409 $0 $0 $0 $0 $599
Chge in Close 23.71% 1.93% 4.68% -41.44% 32.34% 18.59% -3.36% 5.28% 43.40% 23.37% -3.73% 17.87% 9.59% 0.00% 0.00% Count 24 Years of data
up/down down down down down down down down Count 12 50.00%
Meet Prediction? % right Count 1 8.33%
Financial Cash Flow $216.1 $581.7 $237.8 $808.6 $882.4 -$570.8 -$493.7 $247.0 -$365.5 $88.6 -$434.6 -$280.4 C F Statement  Financial CF
Total Accruals $300.6 -$712.1 $1,264.4 -$160.3 -$22.0 $803.3 $716.6 -$752.3 $819.9 $530.1 $414.1 $2,031.3 Accruals
Accruals Ratio 5.05% -12.27% 18.75% -2.06% -0.25% 9.17% 5.81% -5.71% 6.02% 3.64% 2.76% 13.27% 3.64% <-Median-> 5 Ratio
Cash $838.00 $741.30 -$105.50 $420.91 $786.00 $436.30 $201.00 $929.50 $574.20 $647.80 $900.60 $823.80 Cash
Cash per Share $10.29 $9.10 -$1.29 $5.16 $9.63 $5.36 $2.47 $11.45 $7.18 $8.36 $12.16 $11.64 $11.45 <-Median-> 5 Cash per Share
Percentage of Stock Price 14.79% 12.84% -1.75% 11.87% 16.75% 7.86% 3.75% 16.51% 7.22% 6.81% 10.29% 8.36% 8.36% <-Median-> 5 % of Stock Price
http://www.fool.ca/2015/03/02/how-canadian-tire-emerged-from-the-ashes-of-a-desolate-retail-sector/ 
March 5, 2017.  Last estimates were for 2017, 2018 and 2019 of $12784M, $13116M and $13672M for Revenue, $8.71, $9.76 and $10.30 for EPS, 
$15.90, $12.40 and $18.20 for CFPS, $633M and $678M for Net Income.
March 12, 2015.  Last estimates were for 2015, 2016 and 2017 of $12765M, $13275M and $13655M for Revenue, $8.25 and $9.42 Adjusted EPS for 2015 and 2016, 
$7.93, $8.79 and $9.32 for EPS, $12.70, $13.90 and $14.90 for CFPS and $612, $656 and $735.9 for Net Income.
March 20, 2015.  Last estimates were for 2014, 2015 snf 2016 of $12153M, $12285M and $12687M for Revenue, $7.00 for Adjusted EPS for 2014, 
$7.36, $7.85 and $8.17 for EPS, $13.70 and $12.70 for CFPS for 2014 and 2015 and $546M for Net Income for 2014.
February 22, 2014.  Last estimates were for 2013 and 2014 of $11512M and $11733M for Revenue, $6.80 and $7.00 for Adjusted EPS, $6.69 and $7.07 for EPS.
It would seem that for 2013 there is no adjusted EPS referred to my anyone as far as I can see.
Mar 23, 2013.  Last Estimates were for 2012 and 2013 of $11257M and $11564M for Revenue, $6.12 and f$6.67 for Earnings and f$12.32 and $14.63 for CFPS.
Feb 11, 2012.  Last estimates I got were for 2011 and 2012 for EPS of 5.36 and 5.70 and CF for $9.12 and $9.62.
Aug 19, 2011. Credit rating agency DBRS has downgraded Canadian Tire Corp. (CTC.A-T $52.21) debt to BBB from an A rating, a day after the retailer completed its acquisition of sporting goods 
chain The Forzani Group Ltd. (FGL-T $26.47). The downgrade in the debentures and medium-term notes of Canadian Tire was mainly because of the increase in the size of the company’s debt, DBRS said Friday.
Jun 11, 2011.  Last estimates I got for 2011 and 2012 were $4.57 and $5.05 for earnings and $9.30 and $9.35 for cash flow.
Feb 2010, unaudited Jan 2010 statements.  In Jul 2009, I picked up Earnings and cash flow of $4.12 and $8.80 and they came in at $4.10 and $5.13.
April 2009 AR 2008. In August 2008, I picked up an earnings estimate of $5.20 and it came in at $4.59.
AP 2007. I have done well by this stock.  Am concerned with fall in OPM and slow revenue growth.  Accruals ratio does not look good neither, but they often have high numbers.
AP 2006.  Not followed TD or Mike. FP Card says hold but gives expected price of $81, Market Watch says buy and expected price at 80?  Keeper at present.
Revenue, Earnings and return are good. Dividend increases are good.  Accruals look shady, but do not seem to affect the price. Profit margin thin, but Roe is good.
AP  2005.  This stock seems to be doing well.  There are still a number of buy ratings on it.  TDNewCrest does not follow it. Made IRR since 2000 of 19%
Still of the opinion that this is not a good long term stock.  I bought only because the price when very low.  It is still a sell.
Controlling shareholder is Martha Billes.  She has 3.8%, but has 61.4% voting control.
AP 2004.  There is 6 buy ratings and 3 holds on this stock. Stock is doing much better and I will hold for now. From Big Chart.  TD does not follow this stock 
2003.  I am still concerned about this stock. 
Martha Gardner Billes owns controlling shares in this company.   There are voting shares (CTC)  and non-voting (CTC.A) shares.
Sector:
Consumer Discretionary
What should this stock accomplish?
You would buy this stock for diversification reasons.  There may be volatility in this stock, especially concerning Earnings and Cash Flow. 
You should buy it for both rising dividends and capital gain appreciation.  You should expect low dividend yield and moderate dividend growth.  
Would I buy this company and Why.
Yes, I think this is a good consumer discretionary stock.  It is a dividend growht stock.
Dividends
Dividends are paid quarterly, in cylce 3, which is in March, June, September and December.  The dividends are paid near the first of the month.  Dividends declared for shareholders of one month are paid two months later.
For example, the dividend declared November 8, 2012 payable to shareholders of record of January 31, 2013 are paid on March 1, 2013.
Misson Statement or closes thing I can find.
What I am looking for is a statement that the company wants to do well by their customers, employees, and community and and thereby earn shareholders a reasonable return.
For customers For more than 90 years, Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC) has been providing customers with everything they need for life in Canada. 
For employees Canadian Tire is a place where you can truly make a difference in the lives of Canadians, perform at your best, and be recognized for your achievements.
For community  Like a good neighbour, helping Canadians with whatever life happens to throw at them is what we do. 
For investors Reasons to invest in CTC: Strong competitive advantage. Extensive reach and scale. Investing in retail leadership. Consistent financial performance.
Why am I following this stock. 
I own this stock.
Why I bought this stock.
In 2000 when I first bought this stock, it was on the Investment Reporter's list of conservative Canadian stocks. 
I bought stock for my trading account in 2009 because I have done well with it in my Pension Account and it was a consumer stock.
How they make their money
Canadian Tire operates several retail businesses that offer everyday products and services through a network of over 1,700 locations across the country. The key
banners that the company operates under include Canadian Tire Retail, FGL Sports, Mark's, Petroleum, Part Source, and Financial Services.
For most ratios, lower is better when looking for a good stock price.  However, there are exceptions such as for yield and asset/liability ratios and here you want a higher ratios to indicate a good stock price.  
Also, for the Operational Profit Margin, a higher percentage is better.  With the OPM, you should only compare companies in similar industries.
Shares; '%, Value $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M Shares %, Val $M
Date Feb 11 2012 Mar 24 2013 Feb 22 2014 Mar 21 2015 Mar 12 2016 Mar 5 2017
Wetmore, Stephen Gerald 0.027 0.04% 0.030 0.04% 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00%
Director - Shares - Amount $2.709 $3.680 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 was CEO, now director
Options - percentage 0.782 0.98% 0.458 0.59% 0.247 0.33% 0.126 0.18% 0.079 0.11% CEO in 2017
Options - amount $77.785 $56.158 $29.146 $17.542 $11.983
Medline, Michael Bennett 0.018 0.02% 0.027 0.04%
CEO - Shares - Amount $2.104 $3.763
Options - percentage 0.176 0.24% 0.164 0.23%
Options - amount $20.762 $22.818
McCann, Dean Charles 0.860 1.12% 0.807 1.09% 0.793 1.12% 0.810 1.20% 0.810 1.20% A
CFO - Shares - Amount $85.539 $99.096 $93.748 $112.791 $123.600 A
Class C Shares 0.42 12.25% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% C
Class C - amount $52.158 $104.820 $83.856 $82.552 $85.533 C
Options - percentage 0.108 0.14% 0.104 0.13% 0.114 0.15% 0.074 0.10% 0.060 0.08%
Options - amount $10.793 $12.705 $13.466 $10.267 $9.083
Christie, James Robert 0.000 0.00% 0.003 0.00% 0.003 0.00% 0.006 0.01%
Officer - Shares - Amount $0.000 $0.386 $0.472 $0.885
Class C Shares 0.003 0.00% 0.039 0.05% 0.057 0.08% 0.079 0.11%
Class C - amount $0.307 $4.563 $7.919 $11.983
Reuters Options Value 0.000 $0
Collver, Robyn Anne 0.847 1.11% 0.800 1.08% 0.783 1.11% 0.782 1.16% 0.783 1.11% A
Officer - Shares - Amount $84.238 $98.153 $92.532 $108.944 $119.532 A
Class C Shares 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% C
Class C - amount $52.158 $104.820 $83.856 $82.556 $85.533 C
Options - percentage 0.053 0.07% 0.003 0.00% 0.038 0.05% 0.032 0.05% 0.030 0.04%
Options - amount $5.249 $0.307 $4.530 $4.445 $4.542
Aitchison, Iain Cameron 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00%
Director - Shares - Amount $0.000 $0.001 $0.001
Options - percentage 0.005 0.01% 0.006 0.01% 0.000 0.00%
Options - amount $0.498 $0.746 $0.000
Billes, Martha Gardiner 0.756 0.99% 0.756 1.02% 0.756 1.07% 0.756 1.12% 0.756 1.12% A
Director - Shares - Amount $75.198 $92.771 $89.309 $105.265 $115.356 A
Class C Shares 2.10 61.38% 2.101 61.38% 2.101 61.38% 2.101 61.38% 2.101 61.38% C
Class C - amount $261.383 $525.288 $420.230 $413.716 $428.635 C
Options - percentage 0.000 $0.000 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00%
Options - amount $0 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000
Sabia, Maureen Joanne 0.006 0.01% 0.006 0.01% 0.005 0.01% 0.005 0.01%
Chairman - Shares - Amt $0.735 $0.707 $0.696 $0.776
Options - percentage 0.002 0.00% 0.002 0.00% 0.002 0.00% 0.002 0.00%
Options - amount $0.268 $0.263 $0.326 $0.351
C.T.C. Dealer Holdings Limited 0.81 1.06% 0.812 1.10% 0.704 1.00% 0.213 0.32% 0.213 0.32% A
10% Holder $80.826 $99.714 $83.159 $29.651 $32.493 A
Class C Shares 0.70 20.46% 0.700 20.46% 0.213 6.22% 0.704 20.56% 0.704 20.56% C
Class C - amount $87.128 $175.096 $42.580 $138.575 $143.572 C
Lynar, Hugh 0.86 1.12% 0.796 1.08% 0.781 1.11% 0.781 1.10% A Not an isider after Dec 2016
10% Holder $85.416 $97.677 $92.254 $108.733 A
Class C Shares 0.42 12.25% 0.794 23.19% 0.419 12.25% 0.419 12.25% C
Class C - amount $52.158 $198.505 $83.856 $82.556 C
Sun Life Assurance 2.36 3.08% 2.36 3.19% 2.359 3.34% A Filed 2012
Class A - Amount $234.683 $289.526 $278.722 A
Sun Life Trust 2.36 3.08% 2.36 3.19% 2.359 3.34% A Probably same as above
Class A - Amount $234.683 $289.526 $278.722 A
Increase in O/S Shares 0.005 0.01% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% Yes 0
due to SO $0.519 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000
Book Value $0.400 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000
Insider Buying -$3.996 -$3.231 -$0.609
Insider Selling $7.294 $0.128 $1.189
Net Insider Selling $3.298 -$3.103 $0.580
% of Market Cap 0.04% -0.03% 0.01%
Directors 16 13% 16 16 16 16
Women 2 2 13% 0 0% 3 19% 3 19%
Minorities 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0%
Institutions/Holdings 0 0.00% 4 14.45% 3 14.74% 3 14.23% 4 33.00%
Total Shares Held 0.450 0.55% 0.495 0.64% 0.505 0.68% 0.487 0.69% 1.130 1.60%
Increase/Decrease 0.061 15.64% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% 0.000 0.00% Yes 0
Starting No. of Shares 0.389 0.495 0.505 0.487 1.130
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